6/21/2021 0 Comments Global Warming Prediction
Such projections, however, rely on an atmospheric proxy for drylands, the aridity index, which has recently been shown to yield qualitatively incorrect projections of various components of the terrestrial water cycle.Here, we use an alternative index of drylands, based directly on relevant ecohydrological variables, and compare projections of both indices in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate models as well as Dynamic Global Vegetation Models.
Global Warming Prediction Trial Water CycleThe aridity index overestimates simulated ecohydrological index changes. This divergence reflects different index sensitivities to hydroclimate change and opposite responses to the physiological effect on vegetation of increasing atmospheric CO 2. Atmospheric aridity is thus not an accurate proxy of the future extent of drylands. Global Warming Prediction Full Article AccessRent or Buy article Get time limited or full article access on ReadCube. Rent or Buy All prices are NET prices. All ISIMIP simulations are freely available as wellfor example, at. All calculated data generated from these sources are available from the corresponding author upon request. Tropical semi-arid regions expanding over temperate latitudes under climate change. Global Warming Prediction Software Infrastructure InFor CMIP, the US Department of Energys Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led the development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals. For their roles in producing, coordinating and making available the ISIMIP input data and impact model output, we thank the modelling groups, the ISIMIP sector coordinators and the ISIMIP cross-sectoral science team for the Biomes sectors. K.A.M. acknowledges funding from a Winokur Seed Grant in Environmental Sciences from the Harvard University Center for the Environment. Author information Affiliations Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA Alexis Berg Kaighin A. McColl School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA Kaighin A. McColl Authors Alexis Berg View author publications You can also search for this author in. McColl View author publications You can also search for this author in. Publishers note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
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